Electricity Price Forecasting
Customer
Energy Company
Developing forecasting model to predict electricity prices and help traders make better decisions resulting in a 25% reduction in deviation compared to previous models in place
Challenge
- Client needs accurate electricity price forecasts for internal trading team
- Goal to improve price forecasting using a fixed train/valid/test reference dataset
- Need for a new probability forecast to be implemented
Solution
- Built backtesting pipeline and test multiple forecasting configurations (multivariate time series)
- Developed forecasting solution which generated probabilistic forecasts with consistent prediction intervals
Business Impact
- Unit8 model significantly improved forecasts compared to previous solutions in place
- Reduced deviation between forecasted and actual prices
- by 25% compared to previous model
Hydro-electric Plant Predictive Maintenance
Customer
Swiss Energy Company
Building a predictive maintenance model to detect abnormal measurements earlier, leading to better maintenance planning and cost reduction
Challenge
- Currently no reliable long-term anomaly detection system
- Slow-shifting anomalies are hard to detect with human surveillance as they can take months
- Goal to have a predictive maintenance system to spot these issues early and plan maintenance more effectively
Solution
- Unit8 built a predictive machine learning model for physical variables of interest (e.g., temperature or vibration)
- Define a threshold for values to be throughout the day and sends automatic alerts if a value differs significantly from model predictions
Business impact
- Engineers able to detect abnormal changes in measurements much earlier
- Maintenance can now be planned effectively
- Shorter stops in electricity production leading to lower costs due to plant shutdown
Gas Pipe Corrosion Protection
Customer
US energy company
Implementing Foundry workflow automating part of the manual process to facilitate entry and reviewing of gas infrastructure maintenance data
Challenge
- Client needs to provide a report about the monitoring of their gas infrastructure to regulators
- Measurement data about infrastructure exists solely on paper and ML implementation is limited by legal requirement to check data manually
Solution
- Workflow established in Foundry to facilitate the control process of the measurement data
Impact
- Measurement data entry and review process facilitated by Foundry workflow
- Projected reduction in man hours of 30%, representing a saving of 10k man hours in total
Energy Contract Valuation
Customer
German energy trading company
Enabling contract profitability computation and insight at the individual contract level
Challenge
- Little insight on the profitability of at the individual contract level
- Need to extend contract monitoring capabilities and provide individual profitability metrics
Solution
- erformed a standard ETL process in Palantir Foundry to allow profitability computation at individual contract level
Impact
- Enabled monitoring and improved decision-making capabilities for new contracts and contract extensions
- Created basis for reduction of potential losses on trading contracts